#37: Walmart Moms, Kentucky Polls & Christmas Creeps

Lots of exciting stuff coming up for The Pollsters! Our first live show at Georgetown Institute of Politics & Public Service. And we have lots of great interviews teed up for the next few weeks. Make sure you subscribe so you don’t miss the action!   The Shark Tank Debate None of the CNBC debate moderators were dubbed “Mr/Ms. Wonderful” after last week’s debate. Rubio, Cruz and maybe Christie surged, Carson and remains strong. But what about Jeb? Huffington Post/YouGov on post-debate reax NBC/WSJ poll WBUR NH pol   The Post-Hearing Clinton Surge After the Dem debate and Benghazi hearing coverage have settled in, Clinton seems to be on the upswing, even in New Hampshire. NBC/WSJ National poll Monmouth/NH Dem poll 60 Minutes/Vanity fair   But Carson’s Strong in the General No matter what the press throws at him, Carson remains the strongest candidate in the general. NBC/WSJ National poll Quinnipiac National poll   Mass Media Appeal Trust in the media continues to decline, across age groups and party. No wonder candidates see a bounce when they pick a fight with it. And “poll” is a controversial word! Who knew!? Gallup on media Emotion and media bias Controversy and Sentiment in Online News.   The Red-Grass State? Kentucky had a big election Tuesday night, and Republican Matt Bevin won despite most polls pointing to Conway. What happened? Survey USA KY poll Fabrizio Lee KY poll Vox Populi KY poll Harry Enten @538 weighs in   Walmart Moms: We Interview Neil Newhouse We talk to GOP Pollster Neil Newhouse of Public Opinion Strategies about his & Margie’s ongoing collaboration studying Walmart Moms. And he gives us his straight talk about what happened in Kentucky. Bloomberg on Walmart Moms MSNBC on Walmart Moms ABC on Walmart Moms   Christmas! Coming sooner. Perhaps less religious. Pew finds a drop in religiosity. And others find an increase in Christmas spending & Christmas Creep. Related? Probably not. Pew on religiosity Christmas Creep CNBC NRF Christmas Creep Gallup poll on planned Christmas spending   Key Findings: Clinton, Carson, and Rubio surge. While Bush and the moderators were the losers of last week’s CNBC debate But in the general, Carson still remains strong, and Clinton & Sanders almost evenly matched. Walmart moms across party lines feel few candidates are paying attention to their own shared struggles. What’s teh matter with polling in Kentucky? Everyone seems to remember pollings misses more than its hits. Christmas polling comes earlier every year, even while religiosity declines

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