#24: How is polling like a crying baby?

#24: How is polling like a crying baby?

By Voxtopica

Hard to forget a crying baby--whether you’re in a Maine diner, on a podcast, or if he’s standing next to you on the debate stage.   When polling is the story: The GOP debate This week the GOP debate makes big news, especially the polling leading up to the debate. WSJ: WSJ/NBC poll Fox News article Fox News Poll Bloomberg: Trump Dominates in pre-debate poll CBS Poll   And the Dems? While not as big news as the GOP pre-debate polling, new polls confirm the primary narrows somewhat.   WSJ: Clinton loses ground with white women WMUR: Granite State Poll   Top pollster takes Boy Scout oath We talk to Lee Miringoff from Marist about their decision to not be part of the pre-debate polling. Politico: Marist suspends polling McClatchy: Marist suspends polling to avoid being part of debate Miringoff: 10 reasons polls should not determine debate eligibility   Key Findings: Polling is as much the story this week as the debate. But when pollsters find that troubling, then I think that’s a problem. Even with all the polling, some story lines--like Trump’s bump, or Sanders vs. Clinton--end up being rorschach tests anyway. If the polls are driving campaign news this far out, we have a long campaign ahead of us. Make sure you have subscribed! Lastly, Maura Duggan has been the best intern ever! Thanks Maura!

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